IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. thistledown
  3. race-6

19:20 · Thistledown

Race 6 - Claiming

6f3YO plusDIRT6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 73
6/5
State Charmer silks

Patricia Pavlish

State Charmer

3yo Filly · 8-3

Silver State - Cloud Charmer (Flatter)

Rocco Bowen60%Timothy Hamm60%
551715
6.0

Class Advantage

7/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/03 · mark par7/0311/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below11/04 · mark par26/04 · C9 · finish vs mark above26/04 · mark par31/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par23/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par13/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par13/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%7/03Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%26/04Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%23/06Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 43%13/07
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.4%Ahead 3/4
3
4
OR 70
2/1
Veronicaforthewin silks

Dean Caras

Veronicaforthewin

3yo Filly · 8-5

Collected - Pinkie Pact (Broken Vow)

Fernando Becerra Salazar60%Elias Lopez70%
233141
7.0

Class Advantage

19/04 · C9 · finish vs mark above19/04 · mark par19/0417/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below17/05 · mark par4/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par21/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par27/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par29/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 80%19/04Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%4/06Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 57%27/07Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%29/08
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.4%Ahead 2/4
6
Value2
OR 66
5/1
Little Value Added silks

Keys To Riches Stable Llc

Little Value Added

3yo Filly · 8-3

Known Agenda - Greeley Greeley (Mr. Greeley)

Erik Barbaran60%1/3Shane Meyers60%
241667
5.0

Class Advantage

13/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/02 · mark par13/026/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/03 · mark par26/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/03 · mark par20/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par9/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par26/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%13/02Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 50%26/03Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 17%9/08Pos 7 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 7 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 14%26/08
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -29.1%Ahead 1/4
4
5
OR 65
6/1
Neblina silks

Peggy Faulkner

Neblina

4yo Filly · 8-7

Cairo Prince - Rossenarra (Hard Spun)

David Haldar0/3Rodney Faulkner
563244
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

1/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/06 · mark par1/0623/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/06 · mark par15/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/07 · mark par10/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par26/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par9/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 20%1/06Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 33%15/07Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 57%26/08Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%9/09
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.8%Ahead 1/4
2
3
OR 68
15/1
Sparkly silks

Beautiful Disaster Racing Stable, Llc

Sparkly

5yo Mare · 8-7

Mark Valeski - Bo Peep (Archarcharch)

Angel Diaz60%Emily Szczepanski70%
364366
4.0
1st Blinkers +3

Class Advantage

13/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/02 · mark par13/0213/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par3/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par31/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par30/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par26/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 36%13/02Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 29%3/04Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 17%30/07Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 29%26/08
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.5%Ahead 1/4
1
6
OR 68
10/1
Sthenic silks

McAtee Messenger Bloodstock

Sthenic

5yo Mare · 8-7

Texas Chrome - Halfandtwoquarters (Half Ours)

Jerome Innis60%Emily Szczepanski
844593
4.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

14/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/02 · mark par14/0212/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/03 · mark par24/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par8/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/07 · mark par28/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par26/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 36%14/02Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 25%24/05Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 11%28/07Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 71%26/08
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.3%Ahead 2/4