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12:23 · Nottingham

EBF Slip Anchor Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

5f 8yGoing TBCClass 42YO onlyTURF5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
2
OR 64
7/2
Crimson Blaze silks

Jastar Capital, Murt Khan & Partner

Crimson Blaze

2yo Filly · 9-2

Caturra - Scarlet Ribbons (Zoffany)

W Buick70%R Hughes60%
568643
4.0Going 8.0

Ran her best race when third of 7 in maiden at Bath (5f, good to soft) 18 days ago but it's little better than modest form and leaves her with a bit to find here.

Class Advantage

6/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a6/0429/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a17/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a31/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par11/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par13/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 8y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 43%6/04Pos 6 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 6 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 29%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%17/05Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 25%11/08Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 67%13/09
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.8%Ahead 1/4
3
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 76
15/8
Lady Branksome silks

Middleham Park Racing & Mr B Roberts

Lady Branksome

2yo Filly · 9-2

Saxon Warrior - Be Mindful (Invincible Spirit)

Callum Shepherd70%M L W Bell60%
526
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

Much improved from her debut when second in 6f Ripon novice (good) in May. Possibly unsuited by soft ground when well held at Chester a fortnight later. Given a break since and sure to have a big say if back to the Ripon form.

Class Advantage

20/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a20/0528/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a28/0512/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength40%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 8y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 56%20/05Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%28/05Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 38%12/06
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -25.4%Ahead 0/3
5
3
OR 69
3/1
Viking Barbie silks

Oxley,shanahan,casse,nbr 15

Viking Barbie

2yo Filly · 9-2

Starman - Almond Brook (Mayson)

Callum Rodriguez60%Ollie Sangster
432435
4.0Going 8.0

Fair form, best effort when third in a 5f Lingfield nursery (all-weather) in August. Respectable fifth in maiden at Southwell since.

Class Advantage

21/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a21/0423/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a3/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par13/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par31/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 8y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 40%21/04Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 88%12/06Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 75%13/08Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 56%31/08
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.3%Ahead 2/4
1
4
11/4
Caelum silks

Caelum Partners

Caelum

2yo Colt · 9-7

Minzaal - Wouldntitbelovely (Kodiac)

K Stott70%0/1K A Ryan
2
6.0

105,000 gns Minzaal half-brother to very smart 6f winner Powerful Glory. Showed speed when 4 lengths second on 5f Newcastle debut 4 weeks ago. Leading claims with improvement likely.

Class Advantage

3/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a3/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 8y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 83%3/09
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.0%Ahead 1/1
4
5
50/1
Runaway Lucy silks

Mr Dan Gilbert

Runaway Lucy

2yo Filly · 9-2

Ulysses - Full Day (Champs Elysees)

D SwiftB Ellison
8
2.0

66/1, eighth of 9 in novice at Beverley (5f, good) on debut 15 days ago. Needs to have come on a lot in a short time.

Class Advantage

16/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a16/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 8y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 13%16/09
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 6-11 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength6%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.5%Ahead 1/1