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16:10 · Southwell

Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap Hurdle

2m 4f 88yGoing TBCClass 43YO plusTURFHandicap4 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
2
OR 104
2/1
Spot On Soph silks

Mowbray Park

Spot On Soph

10yo Mare · 11-12

Walk In The Park - Gwenadu (Cadoubel)

Rebecca Hitchen60%1/1−8lbS England60%
325751
6.0
Tongue strap

Smooth-travelling mare. Notched a fourth career hurdle success when quickening to land a solid mares handicap on return at Sedgefield latest. Will need to defy a career-high mark to make it 2-2 under this claimer, though.

Class Advantage

8/10 · C4 · finish vs mark below8/10 · mark par8/1027/10 · C4 · finish vs mark below27/10 · mark par13/11 · C4 · finish vs mark below13/11 · mark par24/02 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/02 · mark par20/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below20/03 · mark par9/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 88y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%8/10Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 20%13/11Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%20/03Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%9/09
Projected finish1st of 4100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.1%Ahead 2/4
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 108
11/8
Crack Ops silks

Coxondanielsmannrosenbergstreet

Crack Ops

4yo Gelding · 12-0

Cracksman - Operettist (Singspiel)

Ben Smith60%O Greenall & J Guerriero60%
163221
8.0Going 10.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Lightly-raced bumper winner. Improved again to open his hurdle account in 3m handicap at Uttoxeter in May, travelling well/jumping better than previously. Takes on some fairly exposed rivals on his return and can go well despite the drop back in trip.

Class Advantage

6/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/111/01 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/02 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a31/03 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below18/04 · mark par16/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par16/05projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 88y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%6/11Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%24/02Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 83%18/04Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%16/05
Projected finish2nd of 467% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.2%Ahead 1/4
3
3
OR 103
3/1
Rock Hurley silks

Donald McCain Racing Club

Rock Hurley

8yo Gelding · 11-11

Galiway - Thalie Hurley (Kouroun)

Harry Brown60%0/1−8lbD McCain Jnr90%
043102
6.0
1st Blinkers +3Tongue strap

Front runner who had the run of things when notching a second Bangor success (23f) in June. Jumped better than often the case when back to form there last time, finishing well-backed second (beaten 2½ lengths) under today's claimer. Leading chance if repeating that form away from his regular course.

Class Advantage

16/02 · C4 · finish vs mark below16/02 · mark par16/0221/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/03 · mark par23/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par26/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par24/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par8/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 88y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 15%16/02Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 75%23/05Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 12 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 12 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 27%24/07Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 83%8/09
Projected finish3rd of 433% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.5%Ahead 2/4
4
4
OR 87
10/1
Italian Spirit silks

Miss H Dickin

Italian Spirit

10yo Gelding · 10-9

Fame And Glory - Coco Milan (Milan)

Megan Bevan0/5H Dickin60%
535428
4.0
Cheek pieces

Clearly been one with issues since winning bumper/maiden for Olly Murphy earlier in his career. Standout effort last season when runner-up in soft-ground handicap chase at Ffos Las in April. Hard to be confident back hurdling for yard without a win in 6½ months.

Class Advantage

29/01 · C4 · finish vs mark below29/01 · mark par29/0112/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/02 · mark par24/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/02 · mark par17/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/03 · mark par12/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/04 · mark par23/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par23/05projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 88y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 33%29/01Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 33%24/02Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 90%12/04Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 36%23/05
Projected finish4th of 40% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.3%Ahead 2/4