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2

Gaillard

6yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 81

Argentan · Prix De Longchamp Claiming Stakes · 6f 101y

#3

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength69%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Chantilly 13/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12813/0244 @ Chantilly 27/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 81 · 1m1f97y Std 130 · beat its mark27/02/2026 · OR 81 par2 @ Chantilly 12/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y Std 114 · HIGHER CLASS12/0324 @ Pornichet 25/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m99y Std 1413 @ Senonnes-Pouance 02/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 6f156y GS 124 · HIGHER CLASS2/0733 @ Senonnes-Pouance 31/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 6f156y GS 124 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Le Lion D'angers 20/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 124 · HIGHER CLASS20/0834 @ Le Lion D'angers 04/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 81 · 6f211y Sft 128 · beat its mark04/09/2026 · OR 81 parC5 @ Fontainebleau 20/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 81 · 6f211y GS 131 · below its mark20/09/2026 · OR 81 par20/09C5OR 81projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-20Fontainebleau?5th6th−1
2026-09-04Le Lion D'angers44th4th0
2026-08-20Le Lion D'angers31st0th+1
2026-07-31Senonnes-Pouance37th6th+1
2026-07-02Senonnes-Pouance32nd1st+1
2026-03-25Pornichet43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0225/0320/0820/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength56%

Delivery trend +3.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/02/20267th9/276%60%-0.16
27/02/20263rd11/893%67%-0.26
12/03/202610th16/116%40%+0.24
25/03/20263rd5/174%83%+0.10
02/07/20262nd6/168%88%+0.19
31/07/20267th7/282%50%-0.32
20/08/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
04/09/20264th10/382%67%-0.16
20/09/20265th16/116%43%+0.27