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5

Honey Pearl

3yo Filly · 8-12

Argentan · Prix De Longchamp Claiming Stakes · 6f 101y

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength42%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Chantilly 21/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 7f100y Std 12521/11C?2 @ Chantilly 02/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 125 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ ParisLongchamp 26/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12226/04C?3 @ ParisLongchamp 21/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m1f152y Sft 120 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ ParisLongchamp 04/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 120 · HIGHER CLASS4/063C0 @ ParisLongchamp 02/07/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1183 @ Vichy 20/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 6f211y GS 132 · HIGHER CLASS20/0732 @ Deauville 08/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 130 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ ParisLongchamp 10/09/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR - · 6f211y GS 127 · HIGHER CLASS10/093projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10ParisLongchamp315th14th+1
2026-08-08Deauville212th10th+2
2026-07-20Vichy31st0th+1
2026-07-02ParisLongchamp?15th15th0
2026-06-04ParisLongchamp33rd2nd+1
2026-05-21ParisLongchamp35th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/1121/0520/0710/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength45%

Delivery trend -2.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/11/20258th16/116%30%+0.14
02/04/20266th20/10%29%+0.29
26/04/20269th33/10%47%+0.47
21/05/20265th12/137%33%-0.04
04/06/20263rd14/126%78%+0.51
02/07/202615th16/116%0%-0.16
20/07/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
08/08/202612th18/15%21%+0.16
10/09/202615th40/10%0%0.00