9

Like Lindy
3yo Filly · 8-8
Argentan · Prix De Longchamp Claiming Stakes · 6f 101y
#7
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength37%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-16 | Deauville | 2 | 14th | 12th | +2 |
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Deauville | 1 | 13th | 9th | +3 |
| 2026-03-16 | Chantilly | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength68%
Delivery trend -7.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 01/02/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 22/02/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 16/03/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 47% | +0.20 |
| 04/07/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 06/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 89% | +0.01 |
| 16/08/2026 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 14/09/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |