7
Monarch Hunza
4yo Gelding · 8-12
Argentan · Prix De Longchamp Claiming Stakes · 6f 101y
#9
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲4
Strength23%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 13.7 /10 (raw 8.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C8.4
Today: 4
Class gap: -4.4
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Dieppe | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | 3 | 15th | 14th | +1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Compiegne | 30 | 10th | 41th | −26 |
| 2026-03-26 | Chantilly | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-01-22 | Deauville | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 8-9 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/2025 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 42% | +0.36 |
| 21/10/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 02/01/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 89% | +0.47 |
| 22/01/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 26/03/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 25/04/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 25% | +0.20 |
| 23/06/2026 | 15th | 20/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 13/07/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 20/08/2026 | 11th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |