10
Adventura
3yo Filly · 8-12
Argentan · Prix Philippe De Bourgoing Maiden Stakes · 1m 6f 91y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Dieppe | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Deauville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Argentan | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
Delivery trend -7.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 25/03/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 09/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 78% | +0.15 |
| 07/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 10/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 78% | +0.12 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 73% | -0.11 |
| 13/07/2026 | 10th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 77% | +0.19 |