2
Powder
3yo Gelding · 9-2
Argentan · Prix Philippe De Bourgoing Maiden Stakes · 1m 6f 91y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-06-16 | Nantes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Chateaubriant | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 14-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -42.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 85% | +0.02 |
| 14/07/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |