Atanasio
7yo Gelding · 9-6
Argentan · Prix Elisabeth Mussat Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Les Sables | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Chantilly | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-04-08 | Senonnes-Pouance | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-01-23 | Deauville | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 73% | +0.31 |
| 12/12/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 85% | +0.48 |
| 26/12/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 23/01/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 79% | +0.42 |
| 08/04/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 28/04/2026 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 21/07/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 06/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 27/08/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.09 |