Liking
5yo Gelding · 9-1
Argentan · Prix Elisabeth Mussat Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-07-27 | Vittel | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Le Mans | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 29/03/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 05/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 21/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 14/05/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 18% | -0.34 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 87% | +0.60 |
| 27/07/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |
| 07/09/2026 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 15% | +0.10 |