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5

Maizieres

5yo Filly · 9-7

Argentan · Prix Elisabeth Mussat Handicap · 1m 1f 97y

#5

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength47%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Deauville 30/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12230/0144 @ Saint-Cloud 05/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1224 @ Le Croise-Laroche 17/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 1m4f94y Gd 14817/0544 @ Argentan 10/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f94y Gd 1303 @ Chantilly 19/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m208y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS19/0633 @ Deauville 12/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Clairefontaine 07/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m208y GS 130 · HIGHER CLASS7/0833 @ Deauville 16/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 131 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Deauville 01/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1271/094projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Deauville45th5th0
2026-08-16Deauville31st0th+1
2026-08-07Clairefontaine33rd2nd+1
2026-07-12Deauville39th8th+1
2026-06-19Chantilly34th3rd+1
2026-06-10Argentan411th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0110/067/081/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength96%

Delivery trend +6.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/01/202611th7/163%17%-0.46
05/03/20269th20/10%33%+0.33
17/05/20266th15/261%0%-0.61
10/06/202611th9/153%17%-0.36
19/06/20264th14/126%75%+0.49
12/07/20269th8/158%47%-0.11
07/08/20263rd8/158%87%+0.29
16/08/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
01/09/20265th13/266%67%+0.01