
Vesco
4yo Gelding · 8-11
Argentan · Prix Elisabeth Mussat Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#6
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Craon | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Evreux | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-04-15 | Evreux | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Senonnes-Pouance | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/2026 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 21% | -0.05 |
| 27/02/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 91% | +0.86 |
| 04/03/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 13/03/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 53% | +0.11 |
| 15/04/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 26/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 06/08/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 05/09/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |