2
Estella Mobray
5yo Filly · 9-6
Argentan · Prix Wings Of Eagle Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
36%
Place Prob
32%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲8597
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6880.9 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C8600.9
Today: 4
Class gap: -8596.9
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | 34392 | 2nd | 41268th | −34388 |
| 2026-05-05 | Chateaubriant | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-20 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Clairefontaine | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 23/07/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 01/08/2025 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 27% | -0.31 |
| 24/10/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 20/11/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 05/05/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 12/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 93% | +0.45 |
| 06/08/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 79% | -0.03 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |