1

Massa Chop

7yo Gelding · 9-6

Argentan · Prix Wings Of Eagle Handicap · 1m 1f 97y

#3

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength29%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 7.9)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.4
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Chantilly 13/02/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS13/0233 @ Saint-Cloud 19/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 7f100y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Saint-Cloud 10/04/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 125 · HIGHER CLASS10/043C0 @ ParisLongchamp 23/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1253 @ Compiegne 20/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 124 · HIGHER CLASS20/0533 @ Deauville 06/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Deauville 27/08/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 120 · HIGHER CLASS27/0834 @ Saint-Cloud 07/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 1324 @ Dieppe 17/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 12517/094projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Dieppe41st1st0
2026-09-07Saint-Cloud46th6th0
2026-08-27Deauville314th13th+1
2026-08-06Deauville312th11th+1
2026-05-20Compiegne39th8th+1
2026-04-23ParisLongchamp?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0223/0427/0817/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength91%

Delivery trend +3.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/02/202613th40/10%20%+0.20
19/03/20268th18/15%53%+0.48
10/04/202614th22/10%0%0.00
23/04/20269th33/10%43%+0.43
20/05/20269th28/10%43%+0.43
06/08/202612th66/10%15%+0.15
27/08/202614th50/10%7%+0.07
07/09/20266th16/116%62%+0.46
17/09/20261st16/116%100%+0.84