6
Comtesse Vera
7yo Mare · 9-2
Argentan · Prix Benjamin Boutin Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Craon | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-22 | Saint-Malo | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Chateaubriant | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength84%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 24/01/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 28/02/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 93% | +0.67 |
| 05/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 64% | -0.13 |
| 23/06/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 12/07/2026 | 14th | 11/1 | 42% | 13% | -0.29 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 05/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 87% | +0.24 |