Highfield Heiress

5yo Filly · 9-4

Argentan · Prix Benjamin Boutin Handicap · 1m 1f 97y

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

19%

Place Prob

28%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▬

Strength49%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 7.6)

Highest class: 3

Recent avg: C3.8

Today: 4

Class gap: +0.2

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-29	Clairefontaine	4	6th	6th	0	4.0
2026-08-06	Deauville	4	1st	1st	0	9.0
2026-06-09	Compiegne	4	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2026-05-20	Compiegne	4	5th	5th	0	5.0
2026-04-16	ParisLongchamp	4	9th	9th	0	1.0
2026-03-19	Saint-Cloud	3	15th	14th	+1	1.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▬

Strength63%

Delivery trend -1.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 11.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
10/10/2025	5th	20/1	0%	71%	+0.71
29/10/2025	2nd	4/1	79%	90%	+0.11
20/02/2026	11th	33/1	0%	0%	0.00
19/03/2026	15th	18/1	5%	7%	+0.01
16/04/2026	9th	40/1	0%	20%	+0.20
20/05/2026	5th	15/2	61%	69%	+0.09
09/06/2026	2nd	10/1	47%	93%	+0.46
06/08/2026	1st	15/2	61%	100%	+0.39
29/08/2026	6th	15/2	61%	64%	+0.04