5
Johnny Jane
4yo Gelding · 9-3
Argentan · Prix Benjamin Boutin Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#8
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 10.6 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-11 | Deauville | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | 4 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Deauville | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength9%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 54% | -0.33 |
| 02/01/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 16/01/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 24/01/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 07/02/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 79% | +0.15 |
| 12/07/2026 | 15th | 25/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 24/07/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 06/08/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 11/08/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |