3
Lhasa
5yo Filly · 9-4
Argentan · Prix Benjamin Boutin Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
79%
Place Prob
57%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Vichy | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
Delivery trend -4.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 22/01/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 79% | +0.23 |
| 25/02/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 17/04/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 93% | +0.67 |
| 15/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 93% | +0.06 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 93% | +0.06 |
| 02/07/2026 | 5th | 5/4 | 93% | 71% | -0.22 |
| 03/08/2026 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 18% | -0.58 |
| 07/09/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |