3
Grey Fighter
5yo Gelding · 11-0
Auteuil · Prix Cerealiste Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#12
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Auteuil | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-07 | Auteuil | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-16 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-04-15 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-03-15 | Auteuil | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2024 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 17/09/2024 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 8% | -0.39 |
| 06/10/2024 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 22/11/2024 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 70% | -0.19 |
| 15/03/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.68 |
| 16/09/2025 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 07/10/2025 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 29/10/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 79% | +0.15 |
| 08/09/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |