9
Lacryma Christi
5yo Filly · 10-4
Auteuil · Prix Cerealiste Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#10
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Le Lion D'angers | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-01 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-16 | Clairefontaine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-06-30 | Cholet | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-01-05 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-12-24 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength56%
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/11/2024 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 44% | -0.35 |
| 12/12/2024 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 71% | +0.66 |
| 16/12/2024 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 24/12/2024 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 05/01/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 63% | +0.20 |
| 30/06/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 16/07/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 01/10/2025 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 92% | +0.86 |
| 04/09/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |