12
Le Colombar
5yo Gelding · 10-3
Auteuil · Prix Cerealiste Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#15
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Clairefontaine | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Clairefontaine | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-29 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-15 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength80%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 29/10/2025 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 56% | -0.12 |
| 01/12/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 15/12/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 29/12/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 04/01/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 22/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 17/08/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 08/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |