13
Lilette
5yo Filly · 10-2
Auteuil · Prix Cerealiste Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Clairefontaine | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Dieppe | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Moulins | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Auteuil | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 4-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength35%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 92% | +0.07 |
| 18/09/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 56% | -0.13 |
| 29/10/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 23/11/2025 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 70% | +0.04 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 55% | -0.19 |
| 26/08/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 08/09/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |