2
Specials One
5yo Gelding · 11-2
Auteuil · Prix Cerealiste Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#8
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 | Toulouse | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Auteuil | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-14 | Auteuil | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-23 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Pau | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-20 | Pau | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1521% of fieldRange 15-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -14.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 30/11/2025 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 10/12/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.45 |
| 31/12/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 20/01/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 08/02/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 23/02/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 14/03/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 27/05/2026 | 8th | 15/8 | 90% | 0% | -0.90 |