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5yo Filly · 11-4

Auteuil · Prix Cerealiste Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

72%

Place Prob

52%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Auteuil 19/09/2024 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 2m1f196y GS 14719/09C?C0 @ Auteuil 13/10/2024 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 2m1f87y Hvy 147C0 @ Auteuil 03/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 2m1f87y GS 1503/04C?C1 @ Auteuil 26/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 2m3f85y Hvy 141C0 @ Auteuil 18/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 2m3f85y Hvy 14318/05C?C0 @ Auteuil 29/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 2m1f87y Hvy 145C0 @ Auteuil 23/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 2m5f191y Hvy 14323/11C?1 @ Auteuil 26/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 2m1f196y Ver 155C4 @ Auteuil 08/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 2m1f196y Ver 1478/09C4projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Auteuil?1st1st0
2026-05-26Auteuil12nd2nd0
2025-11-23Auteuil?4th4th0
2025-10-29Auteuil?5th5th0
2025-09-27Auteuil?0
2025-05-18Auteuil?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0926/0423/118/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/09/20242nd9/276%91%+0.15
13/10/20244th4/179%67%-0.12
03/04/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
26/04/20252nd7/282%90%+0.08
18/05/20257th14/126%57%+0.31
29/10/20255th11/486%50%-0.36
23/11/20254th9/276%63%-0.14
26/05/20262nd16/116%89%+0.73
08/09/20261st17/255%100%+0.45