Griffon D'Aubrelle
10yo Gelding · 10-10 · OR 120
Auteuil · Prix Recruit Ii Claiming Chase · 2m 2f 86y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-24 | Auteuil | BHA120 | 7th | 12th | −5 |
| 2024-11-22 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 1 | 2nd | -6th | +7 |
| 2024-09-24 | Auteuil | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2022-11-20 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 5th | -3th | +7 |
| 2022-09-06 | Auteuil | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2020-11-21 | Auteuil | BHA120 | 3rd | 8th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/2020 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 01/09/2020 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 26/09/2020 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 21/11/2020 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 06/09/2022 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |
| 20/11/2022 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 24/09/2024 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 22/11/2024 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 24/02/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |