4

Hurrick Des Obeaux

9yo Gelding · 11-0

Auteuil · Prix Recruit Ii Claiming Chase · 2m 2f 86y

#6

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼5
Strength96%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: +4.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Auteuil 08/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 2m1f87y Ver 1478/05C?C0 @ Auteuil 31/05/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 2m1f87y Hvy 158BHA149 @ Auteuil 18/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 149 · 2m1f196y Hvy 147 · below its mark18/09/2025 · OR 149 par18/09149OR 149C0 @ Auteuil 12/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 2m2f86y Sft 145C0 @ Auteuil 07/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f87y Hvy 1417/12C?2 @ Nantes 14/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 149 · 2m3f85y Sft 150 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/04/2026 · OR 149 parC0 @ Auteuil 30/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 2m1f87y Sft 15230/05C?4 @ Senonnes-Pouance 31/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 149 · 2m1f196y GS 150 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/07/2026 · OR 149 parC0 @ Auteuil 08/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f196y Ver 1568/09C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Auteuil?7th7th0
2026-07-31Senonnes-Pouance44th0th+4
2026-05-30Auteuil?2nd2nd0
2026-05-06Auteuil?0
2026-04-14Nantes26th-1th+6
2026-02-12Angers3+5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0512/1030/058/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/05/20255th17/255%56%+0.00
31/05/202510th6/168%25%-0.43
18/09/20255th25/10%60%+0.60
12/10/20255th8/158%67%+0.09
07/12/20254th15/261%70%+0.09
14/04/20266th16/116%55%+0.39
30/05/20262nd10/147%88%+0.40
31/07/20264th6/168%50%-0.18
08/09/20267th20/10%57%+0.57