1
Priam Du Mesnil
5yo Gelding · 11-7
Auteuil · Prix Recruit Ii Claiming Chase · 2m 2f 86y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
93%
Place Prob
68%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼5
Strength91%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.9
Today:
Class gap: +4.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Dieppe | ? | 7th | 3rd | +4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Dieppe | 4 | 3rd | -1th | +4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Compiegne | ? | +7 | ||
| 2026-04-21 | Compiegne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Compiegne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Compiegne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
Delivery trend -6.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/12/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 79% | +0.36 |
| 08/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |
| 15/12/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 06/01/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 23/03/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 06/04/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 79% | -0.00 |
| 21/04/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 81% | -0.03 |
| 01/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/5 | 96% | 67% | -0.29 |
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |