8

Sirlight

8yo Gelding · 10-10

Auteuil · Prix Recruit Ii Claiming Chase · 2m 2f 86y

#7

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Fontainebleau 11/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 2m2f195y Sft 15011/03C?C0 @ Le Lion D'angers 21/04/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 2m3f194y GS 152C0 @ Le Lion D'angers 06/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 2m3f194y Sft 1526/05C?C8 @ Fontainebleau 19/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 2m1f142y Ver 154C0 @ Pau 31/12/2025 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 2m3f194y Ver 15331/12C?C0 @ Auteuil 07/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 2m3f85y Hvy 153C0 @ Auteuil 28/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 18 · OR - · 2m3f85y Hvy 14628/03C?C0 @ Le Lion D'angers 20/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 2m3f194y GS 152C0 @ Dieppe 07/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 2m3f85y Sft 1487/08C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-07Dieppe?7th7th0
2026-04-20Le Lion D'angers?10th10th0
2026-03-28Auteuil?11th11th0
2026-03-07Auteuil?2nd2nd0
2025-12-31Pau?13th13th0
2025-11-19Fontainebleau?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0319/1128/037/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength32%

Delivery trend -0.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/03/20252nd33/10%92%+0.92
21/04/20255th9/276%73%-0.03
06/05/20254th6/168%79%+0.10
19/11/20257th4/179%14%-0.65
31/12/202513th16/116%8%-0.08
07/03/20262nd14/126%90%+0.64
28/03/202611th16/116%41%+0.25
20/04/202610th10/147%36%-0.12
07/08/20267th33/10%54%+0.54