Tcheque King
8yo Gelding · 11-0
Auteuil · Prix Recruit Ii Claiming Chase · 2m 2f 86y
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Dieppe | 4 | 1st | -3th | +4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Dieppe | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-06-12 | Dieppe | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2023-09-06 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2021-09-14 | Clairefontaine | ? | 0 | ||
| 2021-04-18 | Strasbourg | ? | 4th | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2020 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 18/04/2021 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 06/09/2023 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 12/06/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 79% | +0.73 |
| 10/06/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 44% | -0.27 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |