4
By Exeter
6yo Gelding · 11-0
Auteuil · Prix Vivienne Claiming Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#9
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Clairefontaine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Clairefontaine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Clairefontaine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength97%
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 28/10/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 22/11/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 11/12/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 77% | -0.07 |
| 04/01/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 82% | +0.00 |
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 27/07/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 17/08/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 64% | +0.06 |
| 08/09/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |