Never Risk
7yo Horse · 11-9
Auteuil · Prix Vivienne Claiming Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Compiegne | 3 | 9th | 4th | +5 |
| 2026-05-17 | Auteuil | 1 | 9th | 1st | +7 |
| 2026-04-21 | Le Mans | ? | 1st | -3th | +3 |
| 2026-04-04 | Nancy | ? | 2nd | -2th | +3 |
| 2026-03-13 | Fontainebleau | ? | 4th | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-03-01 | Auteuil | ? | 6th | -2th | +7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/2025 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 07/01/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 77% | +0.03 |
| 28/01/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 01/03/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 13/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |
| 04/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 90% | +0.03 |
| 21/04/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 17/05/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 53% | +0.27 |
| 10/07/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |