Western Stars
7yo Gelding · 10-12
Auteuil · Prix Vivienne Claiming Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#8
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-26 | Clairefontaine | 4 | 6th | 2nd | +4 |
| 2025-04-15 | Auteuil | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-03-29 | Fontainebleau | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-02-24 | Auteuil | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-12-10 | Southwell | 5 | 7th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2024 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 04/11/2024 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 15/11/2024 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 03/12/2024 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 10/12/2024 | 7th | 18/5 | 81% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 24/02/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 29/03/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 15/04/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |