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Macalo De Grez

4yo Gelding · 10-12

Auteuil · Prix Fezensac Chase · 2m 1f 87y

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

71%

Place Prob

50%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Saint-Malo 29/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 2m198y Sft 14729/08C?3 @ Le Lion D'angers 05/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 2m2f86y Sft 1475/0633 @ Cholet 30/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 2m2f86y GS 15030/0632 @ Clairefontaine 17/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 3 · OR - · 2m3f85y Sft 14717/082projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-17Clairefontaine21st1st0
2026-06-30Cholet31st2nd−1
2026-06-05Le Lion D'angers32nd3rd−1
2025-08-29Saint-Malo?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/085/0630/0617/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 3-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength83%

Delivery trend -3.4% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/08/20255th10/147%60%+0.13
05/06/20262nd4/179%88%+0.09
30/06/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06
17/08/20261st4/998%100%+0.02