Magicien D'or
4yo Gelding · 10-7
Auteuil · Prix Fezensac Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Auteuil | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Auteuil | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-22 | Fontainebleau | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-10-30 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 4th | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -11.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/2025 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 22/11/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 43% | +0.38 |
| 09/04/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 65% | +0.23 |
| 08/09/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |