13
Mary Poppins
4yo Filly · 10-3
Auteuil · Prix Fezensac Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#8
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 9.9 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Dieppe | 3 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Chateaubriant | ? | 1st | 8th | −6 |
| 2026-04-08 | Senonnes-Pouance | ? | 14th | 17th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength8%
Delivery trend -11.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2026 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 24/05/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 40% | -0.15 |