3
Matador Des Obeaux
4yo Gelding · 10-10
Auteuil · Prix Fezensac Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#13
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.8
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | 2 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Auteuil | 1 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-13 | Auteuil | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Auteuil | 2 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 8-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength15%
Delivery trend -11.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 08/09/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |