12
Millares
4yo Filly · 10-5
Auteuil · Prix Fezensac Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
26%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.9
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Auteuil | 1 | 5th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Auteuil | 1 | +1 | ||
| 2026-03-07 | Auteuil | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Angers | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-11-05 | Auteuil | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength60%
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 12/02/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 07/03/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 26/05/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 08/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 90% | -0.01 |