7

Hunter's Luck
4yo Gelding · 10-3
Auteuil · Prix Marittimo Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-26 | Pau | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-06 | Marseille | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2025-11-18 | Marseille | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-10-13 | Marseille-borely | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-09-19 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-15 | Clairefontaine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 22/06/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 25% | +0.20 |
| 14/07/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 15/08/2025 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 19/09/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 13/10/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 36% | -0.01 |
| 18/11/2025 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 83% | -0.12 |
| 06/12/2025 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 60% | -0.34 |
| 26/12/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 64% | -0.20 |