IvyArcIvyArc
10

Instant Fragile

4yo Colt · 10-3

Auteuil · Prix Marittimo Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y

#6

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength38%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.8
Today: 2
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ Marseille-borely 30/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 1m99y Hvy 125 · HIGHER CLASS30/10C1C1 @ Saint-Cloud 16/03/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASSC1 @ Toulouse 20/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 130 · HIGHER CLASS20/04C1C1 @ Deauville 17/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 130 · HIGHER CLASSC1 @ Marseille-borely 15/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 129 · HIGHER CLASS15/09C1C1 @ Marseille-borely 18/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 125 · HIGHER CLASSC1 @ Saint-Cloud 05/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 129 · HIGHER CLASS5/03C11 @ Saint-Cloud 29/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 125 · HIGHER CLASS1 @ Clairefontaine 01/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m208y GS 125 · HIGHER CLASS1/081projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01Clairefontaine16th5th+1
2026-03-29Saint-Cloud19th7th+1
2026-03-05Saint-Cloud?2nd1st+1
2025-10-18Marseille-borely?7th6th+1
2025-09-15Marseille-borely?1st0th+1
2025-08-17Deauville?6th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/1017/085/031/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/10/20241st5/493%100%+0.07
16/03/20255th7/491%33%-0.57
20/04/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
17/08/20256th33/10%29%+0.29
15/09/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
18/10/20257th9/488%0%-0.88
05/03/20262nd20/10%83%+0.83
29/03/20269th25/10%11%+0.11
01/08/20266th22/10%17%+0.17