6

Talgat
4yo Gelding · 10-5
Auteuil · Prix Marittimo Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Deauville | 4 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-07-21 | Chateaubriant | 4 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-28 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Angers | ? | 11th | 14th | −3 |
| 2025-10-06 | Le Mans | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength74%
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 90% | +0.43 |
| 25/06/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 25/08/2025 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 06/10/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 08/06/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 28/06/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 21/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 75% | -0.20 |
| 22/08/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |
| 13/09/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |