2
Bel Enjeu
4yo Gelding · 10-11
Auteuil · Prix Julien Decrion Handicap Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Compiegne | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Pau | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Pau | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-27 | Clairefontaine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-16 | Clairefontaine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength97%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 27/08/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 70% | -0.16 |
| 05/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 03/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 18/01/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 09/09/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |