10
Lady Dahlia
4yo Filly · 10-2
Auteuil · Prix Julien Decrion Handicap Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#11
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Auteuil | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Auteuil | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-23 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-28 | Fontainebleau | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Auteuil | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength42%
Delivery trend +7.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 06/05/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 29% | -0.14 |
| 12/09/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |