8
Maverick Sivola
4yo Gelding · 10-6
Auteuil · Prix Julien Decrion Handicap Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Auteuil | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Auteuil | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Auteuil | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Auteuil | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength14%
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 13/04/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 06/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 12/09/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 47% | +0.10 |