4
Petrus De Houelle
4yo Gelding · 10-8
Auteuil · Prix Julien Decrion Handicap Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Auteuil | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Auteuil | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Toulouse | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-11 | Compiegne | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Toulouse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Pau | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength58%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 24/11/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 07/12/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |
| 03/01/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 01/03/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 11/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 80% | +0.38 |
| 19/04/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 64% | -0.15 |