1
Populas
4yo Gelding · 11-0
Auteuil · Prix Julien Decrion Handicap Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Auteuil | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Auteuil | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Auteuil | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Auteuil | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-13 | Auteuil | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Nantes | 3 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/01/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 13/04/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 12/09/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.21 |