5
Celestin Nonantais
3yo Gelding · 10-10
Auteuil · Prix Royal Junior Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 87y
#10
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Moulins | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Dieppe | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Dieppe | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Dieppe | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength56%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 07/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 30/08/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 75% | +0.70 |
| 18/09/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |