12
Sumava
3yo Filly · 10-5
Auteuil · Prix Royal Junior Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 87y
#4
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Clairefontaine | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Clairefontaine | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Clairefontaine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Auteuil | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 5-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength24%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/03/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 05/04/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 13/04/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 06/05/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 14% | -0.46 |
| 14/05/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 29/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 22/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 90% | +0.16 |
| 17/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 08/09/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 55% | +0.49 |