3
Supreme Light
3yo Colt · 10-12
Auteuil · Prix Royal Junior Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 87y
#11
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Auteuil | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-17 | Auteuil | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Auteuil | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Fontainebleau | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-02 | Deauville | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength64%
Delivery trend -11.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/2025 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 09/03/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 09/04/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |
| 17/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |