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10

Tonkawa

3yo Gelding · 10-7

Auteuil · Prix Royal Junior Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 87y

#12

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Clairefontaine 24/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 2m198y Sft 14724/06C?3 @ Clairefontaine 15/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 2m198y Sft 14715/073C0 @ Auteuil 08/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 2m1f196y Ver 1508/09C?projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Auteuil?8th8th0
2026-07-15Clairefontaine32nd2nd0
2026-06-24Clairefontaine?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0615/078/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength31%

Delivery trend -1.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/06/20265th16/116%56%+0.40
15/07/20262nd7/163%89%+0.26
08/09/20268th28/10%36%+0.36